Is there a ‘jobs boom’ in regional QLD as the Govt claim?

A press release yesterday from the QLD Govt, and associated social media posts like this from Jackie Trad, are suggesting that there is a jobs boom underway in regional QLD. While we steer away from making political comment on this forum we will make comment about data, and whether it …read more

Employment continues to lift in Cairns but surging participation sees unemployment rate up

The release by the ABS of the Sept original regional labour force data today allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend for the QLD regions. With the state-wide Trend unemployment rate lifting to 6.6% (see commentary earlier) it is no surprise to see the Trends at a regional …read more

Major post holiday chart-dump. Employment, Tourism and Regional Building Approvals

We’ve been away for a couple of weeks and, while enjoying the delights of the Canberra Centenary Trail (and Canberra in general), quite a bit of data has landed. So, without wishing to rake over old coals and repeat commentary that you’ve no doubt already seen, I thought it worth …read more

Building Approvals down again…and QLD’s bottoming-out appears to have been a false dawn

The release of Building Approvals data for August is yet another disappointing set of numbers. Trend approvals fell 3.9% m/m and are now down 25.6% y/y. House approvals are down 15.8% y/y while units are off 38.8% y/y. For the past few months the data has suggested (see here) that …read more

Public Sector employment growth slows again

The release of the June quarter Public Sector work force data shows that the Government’s fiscal principle of keeping full-time equivalent Public Sector employment growth to that of population growth has not been met. However, we need also to note that the Coaldrake Review recommneded, and the Govt accepted, that this target …read more

Regional Trend data sees Cairns moderating as employment gains in the Regions rest largely on Healthcare

Today saw the release of the August ABS regional labour force data which allows us to update our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend series. With the labour data weakening at both national and state level it will come as little surprise that we see a similar picture emerging in the …read more

Employment grows again…but unemployment rate ticks higher

The August labour force data from the ABS this morning paints a mixed picture; but it’s one that it unlikely to get the RBA changing its mind anytime soon. Employment grew by 34,700 (seasonally adjusted) which was rather more than the market expectations of 15,200. However, compensating for that to …read more

Regional youth employment is a big issue in Queensland

Across the major states of Victoria, NSW and Queensland there is an interesting (and worrying) story centred on youth employment. Only in Victoria do we see Trend* employment growth in the youth cohort (15 to 24 year old) outstripping that of the state as a whole. While Victoria saw Trend …read more

Arrivals data onwards and upwards even as China slows

Short term arrivals data for July shows a 3.3% y/y increase (Trend) to a new record high just shy of 800,000. This despite the fact that arrivals from China (still the largest single market) have slowed dramatically and are up just 1.0% y/y. Even this modest rise takes Chinese arrivals …read more

Income growth in Regional Queensland underperforming Greater Brisbane

Today’s release of the June 2019 Labour Account data series provides a wealth of information. One thing it allows us to do is take a  look at incomes across various industry sectors and how they have changed in the past 12 months. The table below shows, for selected industries, the year-on-year changes …read more

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