Big drop in Building Approvals led by NSW and Victoria units

Residential building approvals fell by 16.4% m/m and were down 11.6% y/y in May as large declines in unit approvals, particularly in NSW and Victoria took hold. Across the nation as a whole unit approvals fell almost 30% for the year while house approvals were marginally higher (+0.6%). In Queensland …read more

Female, part-time workers in cafes, bars and restaurants get hit hard

The ABS Industry Employment data out last week allows us to take a look to see where the axe has fallen in the months up to May in terms of job losses (see here for more detail on regional labour force). While losses were seen in almost all industry sectors …read more

Regional data for May shows Greater Brisbane being hit slightly harder than the Rest of Queensland

The release today of the ABS original labour force data at the regional level allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend series (please see the note at the start of a previous post regarding Trend data at a time of such high volatility). While employment has …read more

JobSeeker data for May shows another 22% increase. Over 1.6 million people claiming.

The Dept of Social Services today released the latest JobSeeker data for May. It shows the total of those claiming JobSeeker and Youth Allowance (other) has increased by another 21.8% since April with now 1,635,286 people claiming the benefits. This is up from 442,500 claiming the old Newstart and Youth …read more

Another big drop in employment and another decline in participation.

Despite some encouraging Payrolls data from the ABS and ATO for May from earlier this week (about which we advised a good deal of caution..see here) today’s Labour Force data for May shows another substantial decline in the number employed and, perhaps surprisingly, another drop in participation. Note; The ABS …read more

Regional Building Approvals for April

The release of the ABS original regional building approvals data allows us to update our Conus Trend series for April. Lats week we saw nationwide Trend approvals up 3.9% for the year while Queensland registered a 6.4% decline. Today’s data allows us to see that Greater Brisbane approvals fell 8.7% …read more

Labour Account; hours worked fall, incomes growth slows. Regions do worse (again)

Today’s release of the March 2020 quarter Labour Account data series provides a wealth of information. One thing it allows us to do is take a  look at incomes across various industry sectors and how they have changed in the past 12 months. The data provides us, for each industry …read more

Participation changes across Queensland

There has been a lot written about the fact that the Participation Rates across Australia fell sharply as the effects of the COVID-19 lock-down took effect. These falls at national, state and regional level had the effect of suppressing the anticipated rises in the unemployment rates. Participation rates, prior to …read more

Cairns region has been in recession since the end of 2019

Yesterday’s national GDP data (see here for commentary) showed that Australia is in recession; first quarter GDP fell 0.3% qq and, as is abundantly clear, the second quarter data will show a further significant decline (our projection is for a 8.7% qq fall). This national data, combined with the recent …read more

Australia is in recession….Q1 GDP falls 0.3%

The release of the Q1 GDP data by the ABS this morning confirms what anyone already knows…Australia is in recession. Although we will not get the official numbers for the second quarter for another three months, it is clear that a three month shut-down from March will inevitably mean a …read more

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