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There’s been plenty written about the fact that the Participation Rate across Australia is at, or near, record highs and the effect this has had on suppressing unemployment rate declines, even as employment growth remains quite strong (see here for an example from the ABC a few weeks ago). The …read more
TRA have released their latest Tourism Forecasts for the next 10 years (available here). They are forecasting total visitor nights to grow at a slower pace than over the past decade; down from an average of 4.4% pa to 3.0% pa over ten years to 2029. Growth in international visitors …read more
Last week we noted that the ABS Building Approvals data for July was further evidence of a (very slight) turn-around in the downward Trend in Queensland (see here for details). We noted then that Trend building approvals across the State were up for the 5th month. Today’s release by the …read more
The second quarter GDP data released today shows q/q growth of 0.5% (seasonally adjusted) or 1.4% for the year (down from a revised 1.7% the previous quarter. This result is broadly in-line with market expectations and comes on the back of continued weak household consumption (which sees household savings fall …read more
Today saw the release by Queensland Treasury of the State Accounts for the first quarter of 2019. As we noted last quarter, this data gets precious little coverage and yet is, in our opinion, a very useful indicator of how the State economy has been performing. While the ABS produce Gross State …read more
Yesterdays Building Approvals numbers for July were another weak set of data across the nation. Seasonally adjusted approvals fell 9.7% m/m and are now down 28.5% y/y in Australia. The far less volatile (and much prefered) Trend series showed a decline of 3.2% m/m and a drop of 24.0% for …read more
The Dept of Social Services data for Newstart and Youth Allownace recipients in July, released yesterday, has allowed us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Jobseeker Trend series for the SA4 regions of Cairns and Townsville. What we see is a continued decline in Trend jobseeker numbers in both regions. …read more
The release of the original ABS Regional Labour Force data for July allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend series for the Queensland SA4 regions. While the Trend unemployment rate across QLD increased in July to 6.4% (see here for commentary) our Trend analysis estimates the …read more
Today saw the release of the June data for short term arrivals and departures from the ABS. It showe that arrivals (seasonally adjusted) were up 2.7% from this time last year, and up 3.2% for the full 12 months. The Trend data showed a 3.1% increase from last year. Arrivals …read more
The ABS release of labour force data for July showed Australia added 41,100 (seasonally adjusted) to total employment with 34,500 in full-time positions. With the participation rate lifting to its highest ever level (66.1) the headline unemployment rate remianed stuck at 5.2%. The Trend series showed 24,600 added to employment …read more
We are proud to have CBC Staff Selection as supporters of the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend Employment and Jobseeker data series