Cairns Components of Population Change Over Time

In this blog we decompose population growth in the Cairns Statistical Area Level 4 (SA4) into its three drivers (natural increase, net internal migration and net overseas migration) over the eight years to 2024-25. The aim is to establish how the region’s growth is actually generated, and how that composition …read more

Queensland Population: The long arc of history

The ABS have just released population data to the end of 2025. This post takes a look at Queensland’s population growth over the past four decades. The data tells a clear structural story, and the interesting part is in the composition rather than the headline. Averaged by financial year, the …read more

First look at the 2021 Census shows Cairns-North was the standout area for growth

The ABS has started its staged release of 2021 Census data this morning; we will see further releases throughout the rest of this year and into early 2023. There is, obviously, an enormous range of data available from the Census so this first look we have focused on just two …read more

Internal Migration into Regional QLD strong in Q1

Data released this morning by the ABS shows that internal migration into Queensland added a net 7,000 people in the March quarter. This is down from the 17-year high seen in the previous quarter (net +9,763). Over the past 4 quarters Queensland has seen a net increase of 30,785 internal …read more

Taking a closer look at internal migration to QLD’s regions

A few days ago we posted on the December 2020 quarter’s Internal Migration data from the ABS (see here for details) and noted the high number of people moving into QLD’s regions, particularly out of Greater Melbourne and Sydney. This ABS data has only been made available since the June …read more

Queensland regions attracting large numbers of internal migrants through 2020

Data on internal migration for the Dec 2020 quarter shows the trend of strong movement from cities into the regions in 2020 continued across the whole year. Across the nation in the fourth quarter about 10,600 people left the capital cities to move to the regions (this comes on top …read more

Population in the North underperforms

In the year to end June 2020 population in Australia was up 1.3%; with 41% of that increase coming from natural growth and the other 59% from external migration. In Queensland we saw growth of 1.6%; with 34% being accounted for by natural growth, 31% from internal migration and 35% …read more

Internal migration to regional Queensland powers ahead

Data on internal migration for the Sept 2020 quarter shows the trend of strong movement from cities into the regions in 2020 continued apace. Across the nation in the third quarter about 11,200 people left the capital cities to move to the regions (this comes on top of a similar …read more

Participation changes across Queensland

There has been a lot written about the fact that the Participation Rates across Australia fell sharply as the effects of the COVID-19 lock-down took effect. These falls at national, state and regional level had the effect of suppressing the anticipated rises in the unemployment rates. Participation rates, prior to …read more

Population growth in Cairns slows sharply

The ABS release of regional population estimates to June 2019 shows that growth in the Cairns SA4 region has slowed sharply to just 0.75% for the year. This is just half the rate of the Queensland Government’s own forecast (released in early 2019) which saw growth averaging 1.5% in Cairns …read more

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