Jobseeker Trend data shows Cairns continues to do well

We have finally got the delayed June Jobseeker data from the Dept of Social Services. The original, unseasonaly adjusted, data allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend data series which shows us that Trend jobseekers in Cairns are continuing to decline at a faster pace than the State …read more

Updated impacts on Participation Rates across QLD from demographic and propensity effects

Some months ago we considered the impacts of changes in age and sex demographics within the labour force and the impact this was having on Participation Rates across Queensland. You can read the original post here which outlines the methodology used to split out the Propensity and Demographic Impacts within …read more

No joy in Regional Building Approvals data

The release by the ABS of the original regional building approvals data for June allows us to update our own Conus Trend series for all the QLD SA4 regions as well as the LGAs in our area. Doing so provides little joy, although it does support the contention from the …read more

Another month and another suggestion that building approvals declines may have ceased in Queensland

Last month we suggested that we may had seen the worst of the building approvals declines in Queensland (see here for that commentary) and the June data makes that analysis even more valid. While approvalls fell 1.2% (seasonally adjusted) and 1.3% (Trend) for the month across the nation, for a …read more

Trend employment data shows Greater Brisbane doing better than the Regions

The release of the June Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend data shows employment growth in Greater Brisbane is running at 1.9% for the year while the Rest of QLD lags behind at just 1.3%. Over the year Greater Brisbane has added 23,900 to Trend employment while the Regions have …read more

Public Sector employment grows; but at a slower pace

The release of the March quarter Public Sector work force data shows that the Government’s fiscal principle of keeping full-time equivalent Public Sector employment growth to that of population growth has not been met. However, we need also to note that the Coaldrake Review recommneded, and the Govt accepted, that this target …read more

Nothing much to be pleased about in June labour force data

The June Labour Force data from the ABS today provides little joy. Trend employment lifted by 26,300 while the seasonally adjusted series showed just a 500 tick-up. The Trend unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.2% (but on ly because May was revised up from 5.1%). The glimmer of good news …read more

National Visitor Survey results…handle with care

The results from the March 2019 National Visitor Survey have finally been released by Tourism Research Australia (available here). They come with a warning; the methodology has been changed significantly. As the TRA website explains, NVS sampling mehtodology has transitioned “to 100% mobile phone interviews (from 50% mobile phone/50% landline) …read more

Chinese arrivals in sharp spike up

A sudden and dramatic spike upwards in the number of Chinese arrivals to Australia in May is a surprising, but pleasing result, from the ABS Short Term Arrivals and Departures data today. The seasonally adjusted data showed Chinese arrivals up 7.0% y/y, although the rather less volatile Trend data pared …read more

Has the Building Approvals decline run its course in Queensland?

The May Building Approvals data from the ABS this morning suggests that we might have seen the bottom of the downturn in Queensland…although 2 months hardly a summer makes! Across Australia approvals were up 0.7% m/m (s.a.), or a 10.0% decline for the year. However, given the highly volatile nature …read more

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