Regional labour force data still strong for Cairns despite Trend unemployment rate edging higher

The release this morning by the ABS of their original, unadjusted labour force data for regions allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend data for October. With the State Trend unemployment rate sitting at 6.5%, up from 6.1% a year earlier, (see here for full national …read more

Diversity in regional economies in QLD and NSW

Last week at the launch of the Invest Cairns initiative from The Cairns Post and Advance Cairns the issue of economic diversity, and in particular the diversity of the Cairns economy, was a major topic of conversation. My presentation at the launch presented some clear evidence that the Cairns economy …read more

QLD economy slowed sharply in 2018/19

Earlier this week saw the release by Queensland Treasury of the State Accounts for the second quarter of 2019. As we noted last quarter, this data gets precious little coverage and yet is, in our opinion, a very useful indicator of how the State economy has been performing. While the ABS produce …read more

Weak labour force data in Oct is no joy for QLD

The October labour force survey data from the ABS showed employment fell 19,000 (seasonally adjusted) which left the unemployment rate at 5.3% afetr particiaption fell slightly. This is only the second monthly drop in employment since October 2016. Casting our eye to the rather less exciting (but in our opinion …read more

Chinese arrivals’ growth improves but QLD slips further as State of Intended Stay

The ABS Arrivals and Departures data for Sept shows total short-term arrivals to Australia were up 4.0% y/y (Trend) to another new record high of 809,700. Arrivals from China, which had been fairly stable earlier in the year, have shown a return to good growth (+4.5% y/y), also to a …read more

ABS data shows State Public Sector employees in QLD grew slower than national average in 2018/19

Data released today by the ABS for Public Sector employment shows that State government employed workers in QLD grew at a rate below that seen nationally in the year to 2018/19, although growth over the past 5 years is running well ahead of the national average. 2018/19 Commonwealth State Local …read more

Regional Building approvals; Cairns edges higher, Townsville very slightly lower

Last week saw the national and state building approvals data show a continued decline, although the pace of that decline has slowed. Queensland Trend approvasl fell by 19.1% y/y which was the slowest rate of decline in a year. Today’s original data from the ABS (when seen through the lens …read more

Trend Jobseeker data suggests Cairns labour market remains robust

The latest data from the Dept of Social Services of the number claiming Youth and Newstart Allowances in the Cairns region (when seen through the lens of the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Jobseeker Trend) suggests that the labour market in the region remains robust. This despite a slight up-tick in the …read more

Is there a ‘jobs boom’ in regional QLD as the Govt claim?

A press release yesterday from the QLD Govt, and associated social media posts like this from Jackie Trad, are suggesting that there is a jobs boom underway in regional QLD. While we steer away from making political comment on this forum we will make comment about data, and whether it …read more

Employment continues to lift in Cairns but surging participation sees unemployment rate up

The release by the ABS of the Sept original regional labour force data today allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend for the QLD regions. With the state-wide Trend unemployment rate lifting to 6.6% (see commentary earlier) it is no surprise to see the Trends at a regional …read more

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