Jobs data provides a little Xmas cheer

The November labour force data from the ABS will have provided just a touch of Xmas cheer in Canberra, Brisbane and Martin Place. The headline, seasonally adjusted unemployment rate dipped to 5.2% (from 5.3%) while employment lifted 39,900 (much better than the anticipated +15,000), although we should note that Oct’s …read more

Short term arrivals and departures data points to further under-performance in QLD

As ABS Oct data shows Chinese visitations continuing to grow (+4.5% y/y) leading total short term arrivals higher (+3.1%), the State of Intended Stay data, when seen through the lens of the Conus Trend, shows Queensland (once again) underperforming against most other states. With total Trend short term visitations up …read more

Labour Account highlights the weakness in Regional QLD income growth

Today’s release of the Sept 2019 Labour Account data series provides a wealth of information. One thing it allows us to do is take a  look at incomes across various industry sectors and how they have changed in the past 12 months. The table below shows, for selected industries, the year-on-year changes …read more

Tourism Satellite Accounts confirm 2017-18 was a good year for TNQ…but don’t tell us much else

TRA released their annual Tourism Satellite Accounts overnight for the 2017-18 financial year. There’s a bunch of quite interesting (although obviously already almost 18 months out-of-date) stuff in the release which can be found in full here. Looking at the higher level data we see that the tourism sector generated …read more

Trend building approvals show North bucking the national trend

The ABS released their original regional building approvals data this morning which allows us to update the Conus Trend series for the SA4 regions in Queensland and the Local Govt Areas in the North. Given the latest data at the national and state level released last week provided no sign …read more

Trend SALM data demonstrates Port Douglas-Daintree continuing to lead the way in the Far North

The Dept of Employment released their Small Area Labour Market data for the June quarter at the end of last week. The headline data is presented as a smoothed 4 quarters average at both Local Govt Area and SA2 level. However, hidden in the release is the original, unsmoothed, data and from …read more

GDP remains weak but upward revisions provide some hope

The second quarter GDP data released this morning was slightly weaker than expectations, although upward revisions to past quarters saw the year-on-year number actually somewhat better than had been hoped for.  Seasonally adjusted GDP rose 0.4% q/q for a year-on-year increase of 1.7% (up from 1.6% in the previous quarter). …read more

Building Approvals slide again in Oct

Data today for Ocotber shows no sign of the slide in residential building approvals stopping; although, if we’re looking for positives, then the Trend rate of that decline sits at it’s slowest for a year. In Australia approvals fell 8.1% m/m or 23.6% for the year (seasonally adjusted). Given the …read more

Trend Jobseekers continue to decline in Cairns

The release of the original Jobseeker data from the Dept of Social Services for October allows us to update the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Jobseeker Trend data for Cairns and Townsville. It confirms the continued decline in the number of people receiving Youth and Newstart Allowances in the regions. Cairns has …read more

The drivers behind Participation changes across QLD

There’s been plenty written about the fact that the Participation Rate across Australia is at, or near, record highs and the effect this has had on suppressing unemployment rate declines, even as employment growth remains reasonable. Participation rates are so high largely due to significant shifts in the participation of the …read more

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