Trend SALM data demonstrates Port Douglas-Daintree continuing to lead the way in the Far North

The Dept of Employment released their Small Area Labour Market data for the June quarter at the end of last week. The headline data is presented as a smoothed 4 quarters average at both Local Govt Area and SA2 level. However, hidden in the release is the original, unsmoothed, data and from …read more

GDP remains weak but upward revisions provide some hope

The second quarter GDP data released this morning was slightly weaker than expectations, although upward revisions to past quarters saw the year-on-year number actually somewhat better than had been hoped for.  Seasonally adjusted GDP rose 0.4% q/q for a year-on-year increase of 1.7% (up from 1.6% in the previous quarter). …read more

Building Approvals slide again in Oct

Data today for Ocotber shows no sign of the slide in residential building approvals stopping; although, if we’re looking for positives, then the Trend rate of that decline sits at it’s slowest for a year. In Australia approvals fell 8.1% m/m or 23.6% for the year (seasonally adjusted). Given the …read more

Trend Jobseekers continue to decline in Cairns

The release of the original Jobseeker data from the Dept of Social Services for October allows us to update the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Jobseeker Trend data for Cairns and Townsville. It confirms the continued decline in the number of people receiving Youth and Newstart Allowances in the regions. Cairns has …read more

The drivers behind Participation changes across QLD

There’s been plenty written about the fact that the Participation Rate across Australia is at, or near, record highs and the effect this has had on suppressing unemployment rate declines, even as employment growth remains reasonable. Participation rates are so high largely due to significant shifts in the participation of the …read more

Regional labour force data still strong for Cairns despite Trend unemployment rate edging higher

The release this morning by the ABS of their original, unadjusted labour force data for regions allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend data for October. With the State Trend unemployment rate sitting at 6.5%, up from 6.1% a year earlier, (see here for full national …read more

Diversity in regional economies in QLD and NSW

Last week at the launch of the Invest Cairns initiative from The Cairns Post and Advance Cairns the issue of economic diversity, and in particular the diversity of the Cairns economy, was a major topic of conversation. My presentation at the launch presented some clear evidence that the Cairns economy …read more

QLD economy slowed sharply in 2018/19

Earlier this week saw the release by Queensland Treasury of the State Accounts for the second quarter of 2019. As we noted last quarter, this data gets precious little coverage and yet is, in our opinion, a very useful indicator of how the State economy has been performing. While the ABS produce …read more

Weak labour force data in Oct is no joy for QLD

The October labour force survey data from the ABS showed employment fell 19,000 (seasonally adjusted) which left the unemployment rate at 5.3% afetr particiaption fell slightly. This is only the second monthly drop in employment since October 2016. Casting our eye to the rather less exciting (but in our opinion …read more

Chinese arrivals’ growth improves but QLD slips further as State of Intended Stay

The ABS Arrivals and Departures data for Sept shows total short-term arrivals to Australia were up 4.0% y/y (Trend) to another new record high of 809,700. Arrivals from China, which had been fairly stable earlier in the year, have shown a return to good growth (+4.5% y/y), also to a …read more

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