The release of the original ABS Regional Labour Force data for July allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend series for the Queensland SA4 regions. While the Trend unemployment rate across QLD increased in July to 6.4% (see here for commentary) our Trend analysis estimates the …read more
Today saw the release of the June data for short term arrivals and departures from the ABS. It showe that arrivals (seasonally adjusted) were up 2.7% from this time last year, and up 3.2% for the full 12 months. The Trend data showed a 3.1% increase from last year. Arrivals …read more
The ABS release of labour force data for July showed Australia added 41,100 (seasonally adjusted) to total employment with 34,500 in full-time positions. With the participation rate lifting to its highest ever level (66.1) the headline unemployment rate remianed stuck at 5.2%. The Trend series showed 24,600 added to employment …read more
We have finally got the delayed June Jobseeker data from the Dept of Social Services. The original, unseasonaly adjusted, data allows us to update our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend data series which shows us that Trend jobseekers in Cairns are continuing to decline at a faster pace than the State …read more
Some months ago we considered the impacts of changes in age and sex demographics within the labour force and the impact this was having on Participation Rates across Queensland. You can read the original post here which outlines the methodology used to split out the Propensity and Demographic Impacts within …read more
Following on from a Tweet I saw today looking at the relative price movements in the US over the past 20 years, I thought I’d do something similar for Australia. The chart below is the result. What we can see is that CPI has increased by almost 69% over the …read more
Today’s Cost of Living Indexes for the second quarter show that it continues to be those in employment who are being impacted by “cost of living pressures” the least; perhaps just as well given the slow pace of wages growth although worth noting that wages growth in the first quarter was …read more
The release by the ABS of the original regional building approvals data for June allows us to update our own Conus Trend series for all the QLD SA4 regions as well as the LGAs in our area. Doing so provides little joy, although it does support the contention from the …read more
Yesterday’s CPI print for the first quarter was slightly above market expectations at +0.6% q/q for a 1.6% increase over the year (up from 1.3% in the previous quarter). However, the more closely watched, at least by the RBA, measure of ‘core’ inflation was up just 0.4% q/q with the …read more
Last month we suggested that we may had seen the worst of the building approvals declines in Queensland (see here for that commentary) and the June data makes that analysis even more valid. While approvalls fell 1.2% (seasonally adjusted) and 1.3% (Trend) for the month across the nation, for a …read more