Some months ago we considered the impacts of changes in age and sex demographics within the labour force and the impact this was having on Participation Rates across Queensland. You can read the original post here which outlines the methodology used to split out the Propensity and Demographic Impacts within …read more
The release of the December quarter Public Sector work force data (which was released over the weekend) shows (again) that the Government’s fiscal principle of keeping full-time equivalent Public Sector employment growth to that of population growth has not been met. FTE growth in the year to Dec 2018 was +3.0%, well above …read more
The ABS today released their population estimates for June 30th 2018 for regional areas. Within our region the Local Government Areas have all fared worse that the state average. Of particular interest is the fact that Townsville’s growth came in at just 0.6% for the year (down from +0.9% in …read more
A few weeks ago we wrote a post on some work we had done breaking down changes in Participation Rates in QLD regions to discover the impact that changes to the age profile of the working population had (you can read that here). That post attracted some interest and one …read more
Last week we saw a weak set of National Accounts for the final quarter of 2018 which showed growth of just 0.2% q/q, 2.3% y/y and 2.8% 12 month average (commentary here). As this data was released we also started seeing a lot of talk (primarily on Twitter initially before …read more
Many commentators have written about movements in the Participation Rate (PR) and the impact this has on unemployment rates; if participation increases then any decline in the unemployment rate is harder to achieve with more people entering the labour force (and vice versa). The discussion is certainly a valid one, but …read more
The Queensland Government projections of future population growth are an important indicator as they will be used to determine infrastructure planning into the future. The most recent version shows projections out to 2041 at both SA4 and LGA level; and this is what they tell us about the Government’s projections …read more
There’s been plenty of interest in our previous posts on Public Sector employment data (see here and here) and Pete spoke to Steve Austin on ABC Brisbane this afternoon with Alex Scott from the Together Union. It was an interesting discussion around the Govt’s fiscal principle related to the growth …read more
The ABS today revised their regional population data for 2016 and 2017, so we wanted to update our post from April (see original here) to reflect the revised data. At the SA4 level Cairns increased from 2016 to 2017 by 3,061 people (or 1.2%). We can dig deeper into the …read more
As we wait for the release of the 2018-19 Queensland Budget this afternoon (or at least the parts of it that haven’t already been announced) we wanted to focus attention on the employee costs component. Much attention will be given over to the infrastructure promises which will be made, and …read more