Nothing much to be pleased about in June labour force data

The June Labour Force data from the ABS today provides little joy. Trend employment lifted by 26,300 while the seasonally adjusted series showed just a 500 tick-up. The Trend unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.2% (but on ly because May was revised up from 5.1%). The glimmer of good news …read more

Jobseeker Trend data leaves no doubt as to strength of Cairns labour market

The Dept of Social Services Jobseekers data for April and May has been released which allows us to estimate our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend series from the original, unadjusted data. What it shows us is further falls in the number of people claiming either Newstart or Youth Allowance in the North. Our Conus/CBC …read more

Trend employment growth powers on in Cairns

The release by th ABS of their original labour force data for May 2019 allows us to update our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend, and it shows us Trend employment growth in Cairns continuing to power ahead with the State’s fastest employment grwoth for the year (+20.0%). For …read more

Small Area Labour Market data points to Port Douglas and Tully as regional star performers

The Dept of Employment today released their Small Area Labour Market data for the March quarter. The headline data is presented as a smoothed 4 quarters average at both Local Govt Area and SA2 level. However, hidden in the release is the original, unsmoothed, data and from that we create the Conus Trend …read more

Strong jobs growth matched with record high participation = stubborn unemployment rate

The labour force data for May shows employment continuing to grow quite strongly but a move to a record high Particiaption Rate keeps the unemployment rate stubbornly unchanged. Employment lifted by 42,300 (seasonally adjusted) or 28,400 (Trend) in May; both after significant upwrad revisons to April’s numbers. However, with the …read more

Labour Account highlights the weakness in regional incomes across Queensland

Today’s release of the March 2019 Labour Account data series provides a wealth of information. One thing it allows us to do is take a  look at incomes across various industry sectors and how they have changed in the past 12 months. The table below shows, for selected industries, the year-on-year changes …read more

Shifting Participation Rates in Queensland regions

Some months ago we considered the impacts of changes in age and sex demographics within the labour force and the impact this was having on Participation Rates across Queensland. You can read the original post here which outlines the methodology used to split out the Propensity and Demographic Impacts within …read more

Regional employment data shows Trends in Cairns very strong (again)

The ABS original regional labour force data for April allows us to update our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend series. With the Trend unemployment rate in Queensland dropping slightly in April to 5.9% (from 6.0%) we might have expected some modest imprivements in our regional data. The Trend unemployment rate …read more

Labour Force data is a bet each way for the RBA’s response

Following the RBA’s acknowledgement earlier this month that they would be careful watching employment data in coming months before making a determination about any future rate cut, today’s release of April’s data will have done little to clarify matters one way or the other. On the downside the headline (seasonally …read more

Jobseekers Trend data shows further declines in the North

The Dept of Social Services Jobseekers data for March has been released which allows us to estimate our Conus Trend series from the original, unadjusted data. What it shows us is further falls in the number of people claiming either Newstart or Youth Allowance in the North. Our Conus/CBC Staff …read more

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