Updated impacts on Participation Rates across QLD from demographic and propensity effects

Some months ago we considered the impacts of changes in age and sex demographics within the labour force and the impact this was having on Participation Rates across Queensland. You can read the original post here which outlines the methodology used to split out the Propensity and Demographic Impacts within …read more

Trend employment data shows Greater Brisbane doing better than the Regions

The release of the June Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend data shows employment growth in Greater Brisbane is running at 1.9% for the year while the Rest of QLD lags behind at just 1.3%. Over the year Greater Brisbane has added 23,900 to Trend employment while the Regions have …read more

Public Sector employment grows; but at a slower pace

The release of the March quarter Public Sector work force data shows that the Government’s fiscal principle of keeping full-time equivalent Public Sector employment growth to that of population growth has not been met. However, we need also to note that the Coaldrake Review recommneded, and the Govt accepted, that this target …read more

Nothing much to be pleased about in June labour force data

The June Labour Force data from the ABS today provides little joy. Trend employment lifted by 26,300 while the seasonally adjusted series showed just a 500 tick-up. The Trend unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.2% (but on ly because May was revised up from 5.1%). The glimmer of good news …read more

Jobseeker Trend data leaves no doubt as to strength of Cairns labour market

The Dept of Social Services Jobseekers data for April and May has been released which allows us to estimate our Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend series from the original, unadjusted data. What it shows us is further falls in the number of people claiming either Newstart or Youth Allowance in the North. Our Conus/CBC …read more

Trend employment growth powers on in Cairns

The release by th ABS of their original labour force data for May 2019 allows us to update our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend, and it shows us Trend employment growth in Cairns continuing to power ahead with the State’s fastest employment grwoth for the year (+20.0%). For …read more

Small Area Labour Market data points to Port Douglas and Tully as regional star performers

The Dept of Employment today released their Small Area Labour Market data for the March quarter. The headline data is presented as a smoothed 4 quarters average at both Local Govt Area and SA2 level. However, hidden in the release is the original, unsmoothed, data and from that we create the Conus Trend …read more

Strong jobs growth matched with record high participation = stubborn unemployment rate

The labour force data for May shows employment continuing to grow quite strongly but a move to a record high Particiaption Rate keeps the unemployment rate stubbornly unchanged. Employment lifted by 42,300 (seasonally adjusted) or 28,400 (Trend) in May; both after significant upwrad revisons to April’s numbers. However, with the …read more

Labour Account highlights the weakness in regional incomes across Queensland

Today’s release of the March 2019 Labour Account data series provides a wealth of information. One thing it allows us to do is take a  look at incomes across various industry sectors and how they have changed in the past 12 months. The table below shows, for selected industries, the year-on-year changes …read more

Shifting Participation Rates in Queensland regions

Some months ago we considered the impacts of changes in age and sex demographics within the labour force and the impact this was having on Participation Rates across Queensland. You can read the original post here which outlines the methodology used to split out the Propensity and Demographic Impacts within …read more

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