Regional employment data shows Trends in Cairns very strong (again)

The ABS original regional labour force data for April allows us to update our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend series. With the Trend unemployment rate in Queensland dropping slightly in April to 5.9% (from 6.0%) we might have expected some modest imprivements in our regional data. The Trend unemployment rate …read more

Labour Force data is a bet each way for the RBA’s response

Following the RBA’s acknowledgement earlier this month that they would be careful watching employment data in coming months before making a determination about any future rate cut, today’s release of April’s data will have done little to clarify matters one way or the other. On the downside the headline (seasonally …read more

Jobseekers Trend data shows further declines in the North

The Dept of Social Services Jobseekers data for March has been released which allows us to estimate our Conus Trend series from the original, unadjusted data. What it shows us is further falls in the number of people claiming either Newstart or Youth Allowance in the North. Our Conus/CBC Staff …read more

Public Sector employment data shows the fiscal principle still not being met…and the Govt appear to want to move the goal posts

The release of the December quarter Public Sector work force data (which was released over the weekend) shows (again) that the Government’s fiscal principle of keeping full-time equivalent Public Sector employment growth to that of population growth has not been met. FTE growth in the year to Dec 2018 was +3.0%, well above …read more

Regional Employment data shows Cairns improving further

The release by the ABS of their original, unadjusted regional labour force data allows us to update our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Regional Employment Trend series for Queensland. What we see is the employment picture improving much better in the Rest of QLD than Greater Brisbane with Cairns now a …read more

Solid labour force report takes focus off a rate cut soon

A robust labour market report for March has eased pressure on the RBA to cut rates any time soon. Employment lifted 25,700 while the Feb data was revised stronger (seasonally adjusted); Trend data showed a lift of 20,700 with Feb also revised slightly stronger. The unemployment rate remained at 5.0% …read more

Small Area Labour Market data for the North

The Dept of Employment have released their Small Area Labour Market data for the December quarter. The headline data is presented as a smoothed 4 quarters average at both Local Govt Area and SA2 level. However, hidden in the release is the original, unsmoothed, data and from that we create the Conus Trend …read more

Trend data shows another strong month for Cairns

The release of ABS regional labour force data for Feb allows us to update our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend series; and it shows us a very strong picture emerging in Cairns. Last month we saw some unbelievably low unemployment data in the original data-set from the ABS for Cairns …read more

Queensland labour market showing signs of improvement

Yesterday’s release of the Feb Labour Force data from the ABS seemed to suggest that, just as the growth in Australian jobs appears to have stabilised, there might finally be some better news for Queensland. The national data showed an additional 4,600 (seasonally adjusted) were added to the number employed …read more

How female participation has effected QLD’s regions

A few weeks ago we wrote a post on some work we had done breaking down changes in Participation Rates in QLD regions to discover the impact that changes to the age profile of the working population had (you can read that here). That post attracted some interest and one …read more

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