QLD MYFER will keep Pitt happy

The Mid-Year Fiscal and Economic Review released this afternoon (download here) will have made happy reading for QLD Treasurer Curtis Pitt. Surging coal royalties have resulted in a better than expected surplus and allowed the government to “splash some cash” ahead of a probable election next year. Although the fiscal …read more

Dept of Employment SALM data for Sept quarter shows Townsville weak (again)

The release by the Dept of Employment of their Small Area Labour Market (SALM) data for the third quarter to Sept 2016 confirms the weaker story that we’ve been seeing in Townsville. The SALM data is based on a range of indicators including ABS Labour Force data for the SA4 areas, …read more

Dept of Social Security payment recipients data not as bullish on Cairns

Our own Conus Trend series for Cairns SA4, based on the original ABS regional data, showed a reduction in Trend unemployment in October to 7.3%. The Dept of Social Security payment recipients data released on Weds appears somewhat less positive. Although recipient numbers fell the Conus Trend series showed a …read more

Regional jobs; better still for Cairns while Townsville sinks further

The release today by the ABS of their original, unadjusted regional labour force data allows us to update our own Conus Trend series. What we see is (again) confirmation of the improving story in Cairns but, unfortunately, a reversal of the brighter picture for Townsville that we noted (and questioned!) …read more

Pete talking QLD jobs data on ABC Far North

Kier Shorey from ABC Far North spoke to Pete this morning about yesterday’s labour force data for Queensland (you can read yesterday’s commentary below). Later in the morning Kier also spoke to QLD Treasurer Curtis Pitt and I was struck by Pitt’s contention that the Participation Rate “goes up and …read more

Jobs data weaker than expected. Horror numbers for QLD despite a fall in the unemployment rate

Today’s ABS Labour Force data for October is, on the face of it, reasonable. However, when we dig deeper we see a significantly weaker picture. The headline (seasonally adjusted) unemployment rate in Australia remained stable at 5.6% (mkt expected 5.7%) and we saw an additional 9,800 jobs added. However, we …read more

Wages growth shows QLD lagging with Public sector doing worse in medium term

Data released by the ABS today for the Sept 2016 quarter shows wages growth across the economy in Australia was +2.0% for the year. Private sector growth stood at +1.9% while the Public sector did better at 2.3%. (all figures relate to ABS original series to allow for comparison to …read more

NSW and Victoria added to the Conus Trend Regional Jobs database

For some time we have been working to expand our Conus Trend Regional Jobs database and are pleased to announce that we now have our full Conus Trend data available for NSW and Victoria to add to our previous QLD data. Following future ABS Regional Labour Force data releases we …read more

Pete on 4CA talking about the latest regional jobs data

Pete was on Radio 4CA this morning talking to John MacKenzie about the latest release of the Conus Trend Regional Jobs data. Listen below…

Impact of Gold and Sunshine Coast data on Rest of Queensland

Following on from the Sept Conus Trend Regional QLD labour force data there has been some discussion among readers (and on Twitter) regarding the impact of the Gold and Sunshine Coast changes in employment on the noted divergence between Greater Brisbane and Rest of Queensland full time positions (see the …read more

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