Today’s release by the ABS of the monthly regional labour force data for August allows us to update the Conus/CBC Staff Selection data-sets for the Queensland regions. The strong data at the national and State level reported last week (see here for details) was reflected in generally better results across …read more
The QLD Govt last week finally released their Public Sector employment data for March 2020 (which is to be now a biannual rather than quarterly release); this is the first such release since the June 2019 quarter results. It shows FTE employment across the State increased by 1.7% for the …read more
The regional Building Approvals data from the ABS (released last week while we were away) allows us to update the Conus Trend series for the QLD regions. While approvals in July across QLD were down 16.2% y/y, the Conus data shows that most of that fall is occurring in the …read more
The second quarter GDP release earlier this week (see here for details) allows us to update our Conus model for Australia, Queensland and the various LGAs in our region. Australia’s second quarter GDP fell by 7.0% q/q for a 6.3% y/y decline. Although we got data for the Queensland Q2 …read more
After a period of stagnation in the Google Community Mobility data over recent weeks on the back of the Melbourne lock-down we are starting to see some evidence of activity picking up again. The most recent data to 28th August shows Victoria coming off recent lows and all other states …read more
Any thoughts of a snap-back, V-shaped recovery in the Australian economy are long gone. With Melbourne only half-way through a second wave, 6 week lock-down the third quarter GDP data (which we will not see until December) may be negative, although our model is still projecting a modest q/q gain, …read more
Today’s release from the ABS of the Payrolls data to the week ending 8th August suggests that we might expect some improvement in Cairns’ Conus/CBC Staff Selection series for August when released later next month. Payrolls data (sourced from the ATO’s Single Touch Payroll system) showed payrolls in the Cairns …read more
Not surprisingly, given the poor State performance noted last week (see here for details), the labour markets across most of QLD have deteriorated in July according to the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend. The Trend unemployment rate, which sits at 8.8% in QLD, lifted to 8.7% in Greater Brisbane and 9.0% …read more
Today sees yet more evidence of the better economic outcomes coming from the better health situation being enjoyed by Queensland. Original JobSeeker data from the Dept of Social Services for July showed recipients up over 7,000 across the nation (+0.4% m/m). NSW added almost 1,500 (+0.3% m/m) while Victoria, not …read more
The re-starting of the domestic tourism industry is clearly underway in the Far North. The latest data from the Cairns Airport show total passenger numbers jumping to 109,104 in July (from a low in 11,153 in April). Although total passenger numbers are down 78% from a year earlier the domestic …read more