October Building Approvals from the ABS today shows a 12.6% drop m/m (-24.9% yr/yr) seasonally adjusted. The decline is being driven largely by units (-23.5% m/m and -41.8% yr/yr) while house approvals fall relatively more gradually (-2.5% m/m and -4.5% yr/yr). It would certainly suggest that the peak in unit …read more
The release today by the ABS of their original, unadjusted regional labour force data allows us to update our own Conus Trend series. What we see is (again) confirmation of the improving story in Cairns but, unfortunately, a reversal of the brighter picture for Townsville that we noted (and questioned!) …read more
A few weeks ago we discussed the Queensland Treasury quarterly estimates of Gross State Product (GSP) and noted that they reflected a strong 3.3% growth for the 2015/16 year (see here). Yesterday saw the ABS release their own (annual) estimates for 2015/16 and these showed Queensland with just a 2.0% …read more
Kier Shorey from ABC Far North spoke to Pete this morning about yesterday’s labour force data for Queensland (you can read yesterday’s commentary below). Later in the morning Kier also spoke to QLD Treasurer Curtis Pitt and I was struck by Pitt’s contention that the Participation Rate “goes up and …read more
Today’s ABS Labour Force data for October is, on the face of it, reasonable. However, when we dig deeper we see a significantly weaker picture. The headline (seasonally adjusted) unemployment rate in Australia remained stable at 5.6% (mkt expected 5.7%) and we saw an additional 9,800 jobs added. However, we …read more
Data released by the ABS today for the Sept 2016 quarter shows wages growth across the economy in Australia was +2.0% for the year. Private sector growth stood at +1.9% while the Public sector did better at 2.3%. (all figures relate to ABS original series to allow for comparison to …read more
For some time we have been working to expand our Conus Trend Regional Jobs database and are pleased to announce that we now have our full Conus Trend data available for NSW and Victoria to add to our previous QLD data. Following future ABS Regional Labour Force data releases we …read more
ABS data released today for Sept shows short term arrivals at a new record high (709,700 seasonally adjusted) which is 11.5% higher than at the same time last year. Over the past year over 8.06 million arrivals have been recorded; also a new record and up 10.7% for the same …read more
Data released last week by the Queensland Treasury shows the state’s economy grew 1.2% in the second quarter of 2016; the fastest pace of growth since Q1 2012. While Queensland Treasury release their Gross State Product data on a quarterly basis the ABS only do so annually (and we must …read more
ABS data this morning for residential Building Approvals in the Far North paint another disappointing picture after a weak month previously (see here). The original data for September shows that an apparent slight recovery in Townsville in August was merely a blip, and the ongoing weaker numbers elsewhere continue. As …read more