The fourth quarter GDP data released this morning was broadly in line with expectations with a 3.4% q/q increase on the back of the previous quarter’s 1.9% decline (actually revised slightly better) which leaves us 4.2% up from the same period a year ago. Over the course of 2021 GDP …read more
Yesterday saw the ABS release their original regional labour market data which allows us to update the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend series. What that shows was a small uptick in Trend employment in the region (+400 for the month) which saw the Trend unemployment rate fall slightly to 3.9%. While …read more
Data today from the Dept of Social Services shows that the total number of JobSeekers in the Cairns region has fallen in January, after a modest increase at the end of last year. When we consider the original, unadjusted data through the lens of the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend we …read more
The Labour Force Survey data from the ABS for January shows an additional 12,900 people employed (although full-0time positions dropped 17,000) and a participation rate that edged slightly higher. As a result the headline unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%. Annual employment growth dipped slightly to 2.8% (from 2.9%) However, …read more
Regional ABS Labour Force data, when seen through the lens of the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend & s.a. series, shows Cairns having gained 5,500 jobs over the course of the year to December (although this remains more than 4,000 below the employment level of Feb 2020). Even with participation picking …read more
Headline CPI for the final quarter of 2021 has come in hotter than expected at +1.3% q/q (exp +1.0%) and +3.5% y/y (exp +2.8%). However, the increases are focused on 4 main expenditure groups; Transport +12.5% y/y Housing +4.0% y/y Furnishings & H’hold equipment +3.6% y/y Health +3.3% y/y No …read more
Data from Tourism Research Australia released recently shows just how well the Tropical North has been doing when it comes to domestic tourism; at least until the Omicron surge hit. Data for the year up to the end of the September 2021 quarter from the National Visitor Survey shows that …read more
Having briefly dipped below 1 million in November today’s JobSeeker data for December shows the trend reversing and the total number claiming benefits back above 1 million (1,028,564). The move is reflected in Queensland where JobSeekers are at their highest level since August (231,231). In Cairns we also see a …read more
The Labour Force survey result for December, released this morning, relates to a period just before the full effect of the unfolding Omicron outbreak was felt and just as many States (notably NSW and Victoria) were starting to open up again. As a result the fact that it shows a …read more
Last week’s building approvals data showed approvals in November across Australia remained down 7.7% from a year earlier. In Queensland the result was better with a 5.0% increase. However, the data today of the regional breakdown of those numbers, when seen through the lens of the Conus Trend, show that …read more