Updated Small Area Labour Market graph

Our previous blog regarding the Dept of Employment Small Area Labour Market (SALM) data contained a graph showing the unemployment rate for the Cassowary Coast, Cairns and Townsville Local Government Areas. We had previously been tracking the aggregated unemployment rate for the CCRC using the “old” Statistical Local Area data …read more

Small Area Labour Market data for the Far North

Every quarter the Department of Employment produce their Small Area Labour Market (SALM) statistics. Following the changes to the ABS geographical standards this year the Dept have been struggling to put together the data for the March and June quarters of 2014. It’s been a long time waiting but today …read more

The graph that highlights the problem with the Cairns labour market

The graph below plots the Conus and ABS Trend series for employment to working population ratios. As we can see, the Trend has been on a steady decline since early 2009 with the gap between Greater Brisbane and the Rest of Queensland staying largely stable. However, Cairns has been highly …read more

Cairns Post still trying to make sense of raw ABS data

Friday’s article from the Cairns Post (see here) on the regional jobs data makes it clear that they still haven’t got a grasp of how unreliable the raw ABS data is. The article reports a “bizarre situation” where the number employed a year ago is higher than the number employed …read more

Comparing Trend to the 12 month average

Since introducing the Conus Trend series for regional jobs data we have had frequent queries as to why our data appears so different to that provided for the Cairns region by the Queensland Government Statisticians Office (their report for Cairns Sept data is available here). The simple answer is that …read more

Regional jobs data shows Cairns improvement stalled

After the confusion of the ABS revisions to the September labour force data (see here for details) it is perhaps not surprising to see the regional data also banging around. As always the headline data needs to be treated with a great deal of caution and, instead, focus should be …read more

Confusion over the ABS Jobs numbers

In something of an embarrassing turn of events for the ABS the bureau have today released the labour force data for Sept with some major revisions (and a lengthy explanatory note) which sees the seasonal adjustment removed from the Jul, Aug and Sept data (for reasons that the ABS cannot …read more

US jobs sends A$ lower

The release overnight of the US jobs report for September has seen the A$ fall almost a full US cent. The non-farm payrolls for Sept saw a strong increase of 248,000 (above expectations) combined with large upward revisions to the data for July and August (combined revisions added another 69,000). The …read more

Conus Trend Participation Rates for all QLD Regions

Some interesting work done by Mark Beath at Loose Change (see his post here) got me thinking about the need for reliable Trend series data for the Participation Rates of all the Queensland Regions (we have previously been calculating these only for Cairns and Townsville). As a result we have …read more

Why the Trend’s your friend

We were asked earlier today, regarding our Cairns Trend employment data, why our figures seemed so different to those from the Queensland Government’s own labour force data (see here). The Queensland Government Statistical Office data shows Cairns employment at 110,000 in Aug 2014, down from 117,000 a year earlier. Our own …read more

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