Small Area Labour Market data confirms deterioration in the Far North

The Dept of Employment recently released the latest Small Area Labour Market (SALM) data at the Local Government Area level for the quarter to March 2018. Using the unsmoothed (original) SALM data, which is tucked away in the explanatory notes section, we have created a Conus SALM Trend series of …read more

Employment data soft but unemployment rate falls

Today’s labour force data for May was somewhat below market expectations. Seasonally adjusted employment rose by 12,000 (and April was revised weaker) but all the growth came in part-time employment  with full-time dropping 20,600. Over the course for the past year employment is now up 303,900 but full-time has increased …read more

Trend Jobseekers fall in Cairns and Townsville

Today saw the release by the Dept of Social Services of the April jobseeker data and allows us to update and release our own Conus/CBC Staff Selection Jobseeker Trend series. The original, unadjusted data for Cairns (made up of 5 relevant SA3 areas) shows the number of jobseekers decreased slightly …read more

Employment Trend worsens again in Cairns

The regional employment data for April from the ABS needs to be seen through the lens of the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Employment Trend to make much sense of. What this shows us is the picture in Cairns continues to deteriorate with Trend employment having fallen for 9 consecutive months. Trend …read more

What’s really going on with Cairns’ employment?

Readers of the Cairns Post this weekend might be justifiably confused about what is actually happening with employment in the region. Following the release by the ABS of regional labour force data on Thursday the Post ran a story on Friday talking about the fact that Cairns had “added 6,100 …read more

Softer jobs growth sees unemployment rate static. Hours worked suggests the froth is coming off.

The March Labour Force data released this morning by the ABS showed seasonally adjusted employment was up just 4,900 (expectations had centred around +20,000) with a large revision to Feb data seeing all of those month’s gains wiped out. Over the course of the year employment is up 367,00 which …read more

Where have QLD’s new Public Sectors jobs been seen?

The release of the Public Sector employment data for the Dec 2017 quarter allows us to take a look at which regions have seen the greatest increases this year, and since the ALP came to power in 2015. What we see, when considering Full-time equivalents (FTE), is an increase of …read more

QLD’s ALP Govt will not meet their own fiscal principle during this term

There’s plenty of coverage this morning in the papers about the delayed release of the QLD Quarterly Work Force Profile for the Dec 2017 quarter (available here) which provides data on the size of the QLD Public Sector employment. If we first consider the Headcount data…. When Campbell Newman’s LNP …read more

Job Seekers Rate continues to Trend lower in Cairns

Regular readers will be well aware that there are various ways to look at the labour market; the standard “unemployment rate” being just one of them. Another, less well known measure, is provided by way of the Dept of Social Services data in their monthly payment recipients release (available here). When looking …read more

Regional employment data shows Cairns and Townsville almost static; Healthcare is the big growth industry

Today saw the release of the Feb monthly Regional Labour Force and the quarterly regional Industry employment data. Both data-sets are best seen through the lens of the Conus Trend series, so we shall start with the monthly data. Employment growth across QLD remains strong at 4.7% y/y (see here …read more

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