The release of the Public Sector employment data for the Dec 2017 quarter allows us to take a look at which regions have seen the greatest increases this year, and since the ALP came to power in 2015.
What we see, when considering Full-time equivalents (FTE), is an increase of 3.0% for the year to Dec 2017 which has been split between a 3.5% increase in regional Queensland and 2.5% in Greater Brisbane. The Sunshine Coast has been the stand-out for the year with growth of 11.4% (or an additional 1,279 FTEs) contrasted with Conus Trend employment growth in the region at just 9.2% for the year to Dec 2017.
In our own region Cairns saw growth of 2.5% y/y which was broadly in line with Conus Trend employment growth of 2.2%. Townsville saw much slower growth (just 1.5%) despite Conus Trend employment increasing at 11.1%.
Since the Palaszczuk ALP Government took over Public Sector FTEs have grown 8.7% (actually some what higher than this if we allow for the fact that they came to power in mid-Feb 2015…see here for details) with growth in Greater Brisbane of 8.1% and 9.4% in the Rest of Queensland. The additional regional growth equating to less than 1,000 new jobs over the period.
Again the Sunshine Coast has been the star performer with growth over the period of 20.5%. The Gold Coast also saw significant expansion up 15.9%.
Cairns has grown at close to the regional average up 9.1% while Townsville has seen just 5.5% growth in that time.
While the Government have talked about supporting jobs in regional Queensland, and certainly some programs appear to have done that, it is clear that when it came to their own direct hiring they have done little to stimulate extra employment in the regions. Indeed if we exclude the SEQ regions of the Sunshine and Gold Coasts then Public Sector FTE growth in regional Queensland shrinks to just 6.2% since Mar 2015, well below the pace in the SE corner.
Dec-17 | Dec-16 | % | Mar-15 | % | ||
FTE | FTE | y/y | FTE |
since Mar 15 |
||
Brisbane – East | 4,795 | 4,663 | 2.8 | 4,537 | 5.7 | |
Brisbane – North | 9,384 | 9,020 | 4.0 | 8,254 | 13.7 | |
Brisbane – South | 18,702 | 18,512 | 1.0 | 17,859 | 4.7 | |
Brisbane – West | 3,542 | 3,403 | 4.1 | 3,263 | 8.6 | |
Brisbane Inner City | 43,487 | 42,897 | 1.4 | 40,536 | 7.3 | |
Ipswich | 14,003 | 13,323 | 5.1 | 12,740 | 9.9 | |
Logan – Beaudesert | 10,198 | 9,866 | 3.4 | 9,352 | 9.0 | |
Moreton Bay – North | 8,881 | 8,602 | 3.2 | 8,017 | 10.8 | |
Moreton Bay – South | 3,289 | 3,124 | 5.3 | 2,974 | 10.6 | |
Greater Brisbane | 116.280 | 113,410 | 2.5 | 107,533 | 8.1 | |
Cairns | 13,035 | 12,723 | 2.5 | 11,946 | 9.1 | |
Fitzroy | 9,665 | 9,472 | 2.0 | 9,146 | 5.7 | |
Darling Downs – Maranoa | 4,941 | 4,866 | 1.6 | 4,782 | 3.3 | |
Gold Coast | 18,555 | 17,683 | 4.9 | 16,014 | 15.9 | |
Mackay | 6,423 | 6,243 | 2.9 | 5,893 | 9.0 | |
Queensland – Outback | 5,968 | 5,857 | 1.9 | 5,950 | 0.3 | |
Sunshine Coast | 12,502 | 11,223 | 11.4 | 10,376 | 20.5 | |
Toowoomba | 7,420 | 7,238 | 2.5 | 6,781 | 9.4 | |
Townsville | 12,561 | 12,374 | 1.5 | 11,903 | 5.5 | |
Wide Bay | 11.599 | 11,507 | 0.8 | 11,055 | 4.9 | |
ROQ | 102,669 | 99,186 | 3.5 | 93,847 | 9.4 | |
QLD | 218,949 | 212,596 | 3.0 | 201,379 | 8.7 |
April 13th, 2018 at 1:27 am
Very interesting Pete, certainly dispels the myth that Townsville is over represented in the public servant numbers, at least state govt levels anyway. Given your recent posts regarding the growth in the health sector in both Cairns and Townsville it could well be that much of this growth in Townsville is actually in the private health sector.
April 19th, 2018 at 12:02 am
Sorry for the delay in replying Glen. You’re quite right in your observation although the industry sector employment data collects both private and public sector healthcare workers together so it would be hard to verify your theory (at least on this data set). Thanks for the comment. Pete