JobSeekers fall in April despite the end of JobKeeper, but there is a caveat

Data for April shows those receiving JobSeeker and Youth Allowance (other) payments fell by 9.2% from March (or about 120,000 people) despite JobKeeper ending. However, there is a caveat; the eligibility for two groups of people (those with partners earning more than $2,079.50 a fortnight, and those permanent residents who …read more

Employment up; Unemployment Rate down…what impact JobKeeper?

Employment in April fell by 30,600, although full-time positions were up 33,800. Despite the drop in total employment a sharp dip in Participation (to 66.0) saw the headline unemployment rate drop to 5.5% (after March was revised up to 5.7%). Year-on-year comparisons will look bizarre for the next few months …read more

Online Job Vacancies jump again to 12-year highs

The number of job vacancies being advertised online has jumped again in April, up 3.3% (seasonally adjusted) since March and now more than double where they sat a year ago, and at more than 12-year highs. In Queensland the seasonally adjusted data shows a slight decline in April (down 1.3%) …read more

Reading much into Payrolls data confused by seasonal effects

The release by the ABS of the weekly Payrolls data up to 24th April might have been expected to provide some evidence of the impact of the end of JobKeeper. However, the fact that this data set is not seasonally adjusted, combined with the impact of the Easter holidays, means …read more

Cairns improves in March before removal of JobKeeper

The ABS original regional data for March released this morning allows us to update the Conus/CBC Staff Selection series. This shows employment growth at a slightly higher level in Greater Brisbane (+4.7% Trend and +2.8% s.a.) than in the Rest of QLD (+4.0% Trend and +2.1% s.a.) with 108,600 new …read more

What’s driving changes in Participation in QLD’s regions?

Much has been written about movements in the Participation Rate (PR) and the impact this has on unemployment rates; if participation increases then any decline in the unemployment rate is harder to achieve with more people entering the labour force (and vice versa). The discussion is certainly a valid one, …read more

Once again Labour Force data smashes expectations. Unemployment rate falls to 5.6%

We really should be used to it by now! The March Labour Force Survey data has once again beaten market expectations by a long way; employment was up 70,700 in March (the market had been expecting half of that) with the unemployment rate falling to 5.6% (expectations had been for …read more

It’s the Private, not Public, Sector driving Queensland’s better labour market performance

As we noted last week (see here), Queensland’s labour market has been performing relatively well during recent months with total employed up 1.3% in February from a year earlier (while nationwide that figure is unchanged). Inevitably, with the Queensland Government’s own Public Service employment data (data only up to Sept 2020) …read more

Stunning Feb labour force data shows Australia virtually back to pre-COVID levels

The February labour force data from the ABS shows a stunning surge in employment which has taken the number in work back to virtually the same level as a year ago, pre-COVID (actually -0.01% y/y). Employment jumped a thumping 88,700 (with full-time employment up 89,100) and while participation remained unchanged …read more

Cairns unemployment rate falls again but things are not all rosy

Once again we see a drop in the Conus/CBC Staff Selection Trend unemployment rate with the January data showing 5.4%. However, before we get too excited about what appears to be very positive news we should note that the reason for the fall is not improving employment but rather a …read more

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