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Given the fact that the RBA cut the Cash Rate by 25bps earlier this week it will have come as no surprise to anyone that today’s release of the February Statement on Monetary Policy (SOMP) sees a revision down of growth and inflation forecasts. The table below details these revised …read more
Tuesday sees the first of the RBA Board meetings for the year and therefore the first opportunity for the Bank to move on interest rates…if it wants to. There has been much speculation in recent days suggesting that the Bank might be looking to cut the Cash Rate by 25bps …read more
Today’s GDP result has come in much weaker than had been expected and as a result the A$ has fallen sharply and we are hearing much more talk of possible further rate cuts in 2015. The third quarter result saw GDP rise just 0.3% for a 2.7% increase over the …read more
The State Accounts for the 2013-14 financial year released today by the ABS show that Gross State Product (GSP) in QLD rose 2.3% for the year (against GDP growth of 2.5%). The Northern Territory (+6.5%) and WA (+5.5%) led the way with the ACT coming up the rear at just …read more
The Statement on Monetary Policy from the RBA today has changed very little from the previous release in August. A somewhat lower A$ has led to some minor upward revisions to inflation expectations (previously mid-2015 core inflation was forecast at 1.75 – 2.75%, now that’s 2-3%. All forecasts from then …read more
Data released overnight in the US showed GDP growth at an annualised 3.5% in the September quarter (this compares with +4.6% ann in Q2 and -2.1% ann in Q1). Over the course of the past 12 months the US economy has expanded a real 2.3%. The result was somewhat stronger …read more
The second quarter GDP release this morning has come in bang-on expectations with a 0.5% increase for the quarter, giving us a (slightly below trend) growth of 3.1% for the year. Some of the data previously released for the quarter had pointed towards the possibility of a weaker print, so …read more
Overnight we saw second quarter GDP in the US revised up to an annualised +4.2%, from an initial +4.0%. The revision came on the back of stronger investment numbers and slightly weaker inventories. The weaker inventory number could point towards a stronger Q3 result as companies are required to restock. …read more
Private Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) for the second quarter was up 1.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis from the previous quarter. This result was significantly better than the market expectation of a fall of about 1%. CAPEX fell 4% from the same quarter a year ago. In Queensland CAPEX fell 2.1% for the …read more
Overnight the Fed have announced that their tapering of bond buying will continue, with another $10bn per month knocked off the plans. The Fed will now be buying just $25bn per month with the policy set to come to an end (as planned) in October. The announcement was no surprise …read more
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