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Tuesday sees the first of the RBA Board meetings for the year and therefore the first opportunity for the Bank to move on interest rates…if it wants to. There has been much speculation in recent days suggesting that the Bank might be looking to cut the Cash Rate by 25bps …read more
Today saw the release of the Q4 inflation date. Headline CPI was up just 0.2% q/q for an annual increase of +1.7% (down from +2.3% in Q3), this was a little weaker than the market had been expecting and falls outside the RBA’s 2-3% target range. However, the measures more …read more
The Statement on Monetary Policy from the RBA today has changed very little from the previous release in August. A somewhat lower A$ has led to some minor upward revisions to inflation expectations (previously mid-2015 core inflation was forecast at 1.75 – 2.75%, now that’s 2-3%. All forecasts from then …read more
Despite the political rhetoric about how all us Aussies are doing it tough with cost of living pressures, the reality is rather different. The Cost of Living Indexes released this morning by the ABS are designed to answer the question “By how much would after tax money incomes need to …read more
Third quarter inflation has fallen, broadly in line with market expectations. The headline CPI rose 0.5% q/q for an annual increase of 2.3% (down from 3.0% in the June quarter). The RBA will be paying particular attention to the two “core” inflation measures. Trimmed mean rose 0.4% q/q and +2.5% …read more
The release of the Producer Price Indexes (PPI) for the June quarter show a fall in import prices for the quarter keeping a tight lid on any inflationary pressures building. Total Final stage PPI fell by 0.1% over the quarter for a 2.3% rise on the year (down from +2.5% …read more
The Cost of Living Indexes released this morning by the ABS are designed to answer the question “By how much would after tax money incomes need to change to allow households to purchase the same quantity of consumer goods and services that they purchased in the base period?” They consider …read more
Data released this morning by the ABS shows that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure of inflation ticked up to 3% for the year to June (from +2.9% in Q1). Data for the second quarter shows that prices rose 0.5% after a 0.6% increase in Q1. While the headline data …read more
The RBA’s quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy (available here) only marginally tweaks their forecasts for GDP and inflation. GDP growth is revised a little higher for the year ending June 2014, while inflation is revised very slightly lower. Forecasts further out into coming years remained unchanged. Year ending Previous …read more
PPI for the first quarter of this year has come in with a higher than expected 0.9% q/q increase (final demand stage). This takes the year on year figure to 2.5% (from 1.9% in the previous quarter).The increase has been caused by a sharp increase in the price of imports …read more
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