Chinese visitor numbers decline weighs on total arrivals

Short term arrivals into Australia were up just 0.4% y/y (seasonally adjusted) in April as Chinese visitors numbers continue to slide. Trend Chinese arrivals were at their lowest monthly level in two years and were down 6.1% y/y.

The decline in Chinese visitors measn that NZ takes back the crown as largest international market for Australia; a crown it briefly lost 2 years ago. Trend arrivals are growing at 1.8% y/y when we exclude the Chinese market.

When we consider the State of Intended Stay data (through the lens of our own Conus Trend series, given the ASBS only provide this data as an original, unadjusted series) we see that Queensland has seen a 0.6% decline in intended visitors over the year while Victoria is up 4.9% y/y. NSW is also struggling with a decline of 2.1% y/y.


  1. Gene Tunny says:

    June 13th, 2019 at 3:44 am

    Thanks Pete. Interesting charts. Do you think this is related to a slowing Chinese economy, or is the attraction of Australia as a destination declining for the Chinese?

  2. Pete Faulkner says:

    June 13th, 2019 at 4:49 am

    Gene, outbound tourism data for 2018 from China was pointing to a 12% growth for the year across all destinations which would suggest that it’s Australia’s appeal that may be the issue. Cheers, Pete

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